Feel like it’s been a month since we’ve last had some fights, so let’s dive into this Saturday’s card.
Overall, it’s not a bad card. Two title fights and a solid, hard hitting heavyweight bout. Jonny Bones is back in action while “Bullet” Valentina Shevchenko will try to continue to put herself in the GOAT conversation. “The Black Beast” is making an appearance on this card which is always exciting. Alright let’s get into the picks and info.
The Main Card kicks off at 8:00 MST on ESPN+ PPV. Picks will be in bold. (Odds via Odds Shark)
Heavyweight Bout: #6 Derrick Lewis (-250) vs UR Ilir Latifi (+195)
He finally gave his balls some time to cool down. Derrick Lewis is 22-7-0 (1 NC) in his career and is 13-5-0 in the UFC. We all know what The Black Beast does. He looks to put you out with one shot. It’s a very rare sight to see this man ever go the distance, which he’s only done 3 times in the UFC. Same with his counterpart Ilir Latifi. He’s 15-7-0 (1 NC) in his career and 7-5-0 in the UFC. He too has also gone the distance only 4 times in the UFC. He’s coming off of back to back losses, and I see him extending that losing streak. Black Beast via KO.
Featherweight Bout: UR Mirsad Bektic (-135) vs UR Dan Ige (+105)
A potential FOTN with this one. Mirsad Bektic, who is 13-2-0 in his career and 6-2-0 on the UFC, started off his UFC career winning 4 in a row. Since then, he’s 2-2-0 with both losses coming via KO. Bektic likes to start fast, so look for him to come out swinging. Dan Ige, who is surprisingly the underdog in this fight, is 12-2-0 in his career and 5-1-0 in the UFC. He lost his first UFC fight in 2018, but since then has won 4 in a row. I’m looking for Ige to be the typical counter striker he is and take on the bursts that Bektic will come with and give some back. This fight is going the distance and it’s going to Dan Ige.
Heavyweight Bout: UR Juan Adams (-235) vs UR Justin Tafa (+185)
Oh look another heavyweight fight! And another early knockout! Both of these guys are still fairly new to the UFC. Juan “The Kraken” Adams is 5-2-0 in his career and 1-2-0 in the UFC. He was one of Greg Hardy’s victims back in July of 2019. Justin Tafa is 3-1-0 in his career and 0-1-0 in the UFC. There’s not much to see from these guys and I’m not quite sure why this isn’t on the prelims, but here we are. Let’s go with the more experienced Juan Adams in this one. KO in the 1st round.
Women’s Flyweight Championship Bout: C Valentina Shevchenko (-1400) vs #1 Katlyn Chookagian (+750)
Don’t let the odds fool you. Chookagian is one tough woman and will be contending for some time. Then again, the woman across from here is one of the scariest on the planet. Do I need to say much about Valentina Shevchenko? I guess I will anyway. “Bullet” is 18-3-0 in her career and 7-2-0 in the UFC with those two losses coming by via the GOAT Amanda Nunes and they both went to a decision. Since her last loss, she’s went 4-0-0 and has been more dominant than ever. She is without a doubt in the GOAT conversation with Amanda Nunes. Then we have Katlyn Chookagian, whose resume is just as impressive. She’s 13-2-0 in her career and 6-2-0 in the UFC. She’s coming off of back to back wins and has some confidence coming into this fight. Unfortunately, she is facing Valentia Shevchenko, and unfortunately, she’s going to lose this one. Shevchenko via TKO.
Light Heavyweight Championship Bout: #4 Dominick Reyes (+350) vs C Jon “Bones” Jones (-500)
Okay, so I actually really like Reyes in this fight. He’s doing everything right leading up to this championship fight. Talking his talk, but will he walk the walk? Hell no. He’s facing the greatest UFC fighter ever. Reyes in 12-0-0 in his career and 6-0-0 in the UFC while finishing 4 of his 6 UFC fights in Round 1. He’s about as athletically gifted as they come. He’s quick, he’s tall and he’s long. This kid has all the confidence in the world and is looking to dethro……WAIT A MINUTE! THAT’S JONNY BONES’S MUSIC! Yeah no one is better than Jon Jones. He’s 25-1-0 (1 NC) in his career and 19-1-0 (1 NC) in the UFC. The 1 loss and the 1 NC shouldn’t even be there. So ACTUALLY, Bones is 27-0-0 in his career. There is not one fighter that can beat Jon Jones. Not 3 Daniel Cormier’s or 10 Alex Gustafsson’s, no one will dethrone Bones. One number that’ll ALWAYS throw me off is that crazy 84’ reach. How is that possible? Bones will remain the champ and he’ll knockout the over-aggressive Reyes.
What would I love to see after this night of fights? Well let me tell ya! Give me Derrick Lewis vs Greg Hardy. Hardy was as active as you can be in 2019. He fought five times and is 2-3-0 (1 NC) in the UFC. Before he officially was in the UFC, he tore shit up in Dana White’s Contender Series. Knocking out everyone that stood in front of him, he earned himself a UFC contract and has been a draw since starting his UFC career. Give me one punch vs one punch. It could headline a fight night card, or it could be the Co-Main in a PPV. The world needs it, I need it.
Who’s next for Shevchenko? Does she try to drop down to Strawweight and try to steal the belt from Zhang Weili? Do one of the strawweight contenders try to go up to Flyweight and take on Bullet? Personally, I’d like to see Shevchenko vs Germaine De Randamie. GDR is coming off a tough loss to Amanda Nunes and could be Valentina’s toughest match up since she’s faced Nunes. You can throw anyone at Shevchenko, and she’ll kick their head off.
As for Bones…the amount of options this guy has. Will he actually fight Israel Adesanya at LHW? Will he move up to Heavyweight and challenge Stipe for the belt? Will he try to set up the trilogy between he and Daniel Cormier? The problem is that the LHW division just sucks. There’s Bones…and then everyone else. Rankings don’t even matter in this division. #3 Anthony Smith looked like a ragdoll when he fought Bones, #2 Daniel Cormier lost twice to Bones, and now #4 Dominick Reyes is getting a shot. It’s just a mess. For what I see happening next for Bones, he’s going to wait until Stipe Miocic is healthy and then go take the Heavyweight belt from him. Can he fight Izzy at LHW? That’s in Dana White’s hands.